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· Next Hike End of 2014: FOMC Matches Historical Responses to Member's Forecasts and Risk Repeating Earlier Mistakes, February 2012 |Download: Working Paper
· Asset Pricing under Rational Learning about Rare Disasters, Co-author: Christos Koulovatianos, August 2011 |Download: Working Paper
· Model Comparison and Robustness: A Proposal for Policy Analysis after the Financial Crisis, September 2011 |Download: Working Paper
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Money in Monetary Policy Design under Uncertainty: The Two-Pillar Phillips-Curve versus ECB-Style Cross-Checking, Co-author: Guenther W. Beck, October 2006, |Download: Revised Version
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Inflation Dynamics and International Linkages: A Model of the United States, the Euro Area and Japan, Co-author: Guenter Coenen, ECB Working Paper Series 181, September 2002. | Download: ECB Working Paper 181
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Monetary Policy Under Federal Reserve Chairman Volcker and Greenspan: An Exercise in Description, with Athanasios Orphanides and David Lindsey, Manuscript, March 1997. | Download: Working Paper
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Exchange Restrictions in Developing Countries: Classification, Measurement and Use as a Policy Instrument, prepared for the Surveillance Policy Division of the International Monetary Fund, September 1993.
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